Ebert PA, Smith M & Durbach I (2018) Lottery judgments: A philosophical and experimental study. Philosophical Psychology, 31 (1), pp. 110-138. https://doi.org/10.1080/09515089.2017.1367767
In this paper, we present the results of two surveys that investigate subjects’ judgments about what can be known or justifiably believed about lottery out- comes on the basis of statistical evidence, testimonial evidence, and ‘mixed’ evidence, while considering possible anchoring and priming effects. We dis- cuss these results in light of seven distinct hypotheses that capture various claims made by philosophers about lay people’s lottery judgments. We con- clude by summarizing the main findings, pointing to future research, and comparing our findings to recent studies by Turri and Friedman (2014) and Friedman and Turri (2015).
Knowledge; justified belief; lottery proposition; statistical evidence; testimonial evidence; behavioral decision-making
Philosophical Psychology: Volume 31, Issue 1
|Funders||Arts and Humanities Research Council and National Research Foundation|
|Publication date online||30/09/2017|
|Date accepted by journal||12/06/2017|
|Publisher||Taylor and Francis|