Exit or stay: A critical incident analysis of decision-making in conflict-torn countries

Citation

Cornwell AAD, Arakpogun E & Thomson ME (2023) Exit or stay: A critical incident analysis of decision-making in conflict-torn countries. Journal of World Business, 58 (4), Art. No.: 101459. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jwb.2023.101459

Abstract
Deploying small world representation logic, we examine the context-specific factors that inform managerial decision-making in conflict-torn countries. Drawing on insights from thirty-one managers, we spotlight nine higher-order heuristics that commonly inform MNEs’ mental representations and their managers’ decision to exit or stay. These heuristics were identified by categorising the commonalities arising from our respondents’ accounts on what information they search for (discovery heuristics) and how it was evaluated (evaluation heuristics). We discovered that information accessibility, conditioned by firms’ in-country experiences, is paramount. Furthermore, since employees are strategy shapers, they can undermine the resilience-enhancing benefits of operational flexibility in conflict-torn countries.

Keywords
Heuristics; Context-specific factors; Small world representation; Violent conflict; Decision-making; Critical incident analysis

Journal
Journal of World Business: Volume 58, Issue 4

People

Dr Emmanuel Arakpogun

SL in Strategy & Strategic Management, Management, Work and Organisation