Increasing population size can inhibit cumulative cultural evolution



Fay N, De Kleine N, Walker B & Caldwell CA (2019) Increasing population size can inhibit cumulative cultural evolution. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116 (14), pp. 6726-6731.

The extent to which larger populations enhance cumulative cultural evolution (CCE) is contentious. We report a large-scale experiment (n = 543) that investigates the CCE of technology (paper planes and their flight distances) using a transmission-chain design. Population size was manipulated such that participants could learn from the paper planes constructed by one, two, or four models from the prior generation. These social-learning conditions were compared with an asocial individual-learning condition in which individual participants made repeated attempts at constructing a paper plane, without having access to any planes produced by other participants. Larger populations generated greater variation in plane performance and gave participants access to better-adapted planes, but this did not enhance CCE. In fact, there was an inverse relationship between population size and CCE: plane flight distance did not improve over the experimental generations in the 2-Model and 4-Model conditions, but did improve over generations in the 1-Model social-learning condition. The incremental improvement in plane flight distance in the 1-Model social-learning condition was comparable to that in the Individual Learning condition, highlighting the importance of trial-and-error learning to artifact innovation and adaptation. An exploratory analysis indicated that the greater variation participants had access to in the larger populations may have overwhelmed their working memory and weakened their ability to selectively copy the best-adapted plane(s). We conclude that larger populations do not enhance artifact performance via CCE, and that it may be only under certain specific conditions that larger population sizes enhance CCE.

population size; demography; cumulative cultural evolution; success bias; cultural evolution

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences: Volume 116, Issue 14

FundersEuropean Commission
Publication date02/04/2019
Publication date online14/03/2019
Date accepted by journal19/02/2019
PublisherProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Professor Christine Anna Caldwell

Professor Christine Anna Caldwell

Professor, Psychology

Projects (1)