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Article in Journal

Lottery Judgments: a philosophical and experimental study (Forthcoming/Available Online)

Ebert P, Smith M & Durbach I (2017) Lottery Judgments: a philosophical and experimental study (Forthcoming/Available Online), Philosophical Psychology.

In this paper, we present the results of two surveys that investigate subjects’ judgments about what can be known or justifiably believed about lottery out- comes on the basis of statistical evidence, testimonial evidence, and ‘mixed’ evidence, while considering possible anchoring and priming effects. We dis- cuss these results in light of seven distinct hypotheses that capture various claims made by philosophers about lay people’s lottery judgments. We con- clude by summarizing the main findings, pointing to future research, and comparing our findings to recent studies by Turri and Friedman (2014) and Friedman and Turri (2015).

Knowledge; justified belief; lottery proposition; statistical evidence; testimonial evidence; behavioral decision-making

StatusIn press
AuthorsEbert Philip, Smith Martin, Durbach Ian
Publication date online21/09/2017
Date accepted by journal12/06/2017
PublisherTaylor and Francis
ISSN 0951-5089

Philosophical Psychology

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